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9.17.2003
Barry Bonds for Dummies Ok, I'm starting to come to grips with the fact that there are tons of people out there who just don't get the value of a walk. You want RBIs. And Runs. And HRs. How pushy. Let's do something just for the fun of it. It's not really a solid analysis, but maybe those folks who don't pay attention to solid analysis will take something away from this. Let's remove walks from the BarryPujols debate. For every walk, we'll let each of them have another atbat. Barry: 364 AB + 143 BB + 9 HBP = 516 PAs Pujols: 551 AB + 70 BB + 10 HBP = 631 PAs So let's give Barry 516 ABs and Pujols 631 ABs and prorate the rest of their stats: Barry: .118 HR/AB * 516 ABs = 61 HRs Pujols: .076 HR/AB * 631 ABs = 48 HRs (For every 2 homeruns Pujols hits, Barry hits 3. Wow.) Barry: .288 R/AB * 516 ABs = 149 Runs Pujols: .234 R/AB * 631 ABs = 148 Runs Barry: .236 RBI/AB * 516 ABs = 121 RBIs Pujols: .223 RBI/AB * 631 ABs = 141 RBIs Ok, so Barry has 13 more HRs than Pujols, the same number of Runs, and 20 less RBIs... in 115 less atbats!!! Yes, that's a point in Barry's FAVOR in this discussion. Because even if you let a scrub take those 115 atbats, he'll still create some runs for your team.
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