SkyKing162's Baseblog



A fan of the Yankees, Red Sox, and large sample sizes.


9.17.2003
 
Barry Bonds for Dummies

Ok, I'm starting to come to grips with the fact that there are tons of people out there who just don't get the value of a walk. You want RBIs. And Runs. And HRs. How pushy. Let's do something just for the fun of it. It's not really a solid analysis, but maybe those folks who don't pay attention to solid analysis will take something away from this.

Let's remove walks from the Barry-Pujols debate. For every walk, we'll let each of them have another at-bat.

Barry: 364 AB + 143 BB + 9 HBP = 516 PAs
Pujols: 551 AB + 70 BB + 10 HBP = 631 PAs

So let's give Barry 516 ABs and Pujols 631 ABs and pro-rate the rest of their stats:

Barry: .118 HR/AB * 516 ABs = 61 HRs
Pujols: .076 HR/AB * 631 ABs = 48 HRs

(For every 2 homeruns Pujols hits, Barry hits 3. Wow.)

Barry: .288 R/AB * 516 ABs = 149 Runs
Pujols: .234 R/AB * 631 ABs = 148 Runs

Barry: .236 RBI/AB * 516 ABs = 121 RBIs
Pujols: .223 RBI/AB * 631 ABs = 141 RBIs

Ok, so Barry has 13 more HRs than Pujols, the same number of Runs, and 20 less RBIs... in 115 less at-bats!!! Yes, that's a point in Barry's FAVOR in this discussion. Because even if you let a scrub take those 115 at-bats, he'll still create some runs for your team.


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