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A fan of the Yankees, Red Sox, and large sample sizes.
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12.15.2003
Peoria Strat League Playoffs Well, my Schuylkill Kings finished the regular season with 100 wins and ran away with the division. Led all 12 teams in AVG and ERA, according to the league secretary. And due to a less than stellar 2002 (my first year in the league), I was awarded the league's Most Improved Team award. My reward? A showdown with the two-time defending champion Guam Islanders, led by Barry Bonds and Alex Rodriguez. My team's better, but due to some unique playoff rules, I figure I've got only about a 50/50 shot to win the best of 7 series. The league, instead of allowing a percentage (usually about 8%) of actual PAs and IPs to be used in the playoffs, allows ALL PAs and IPs to be reused. Now, I hate claiming ignorance as an excuse, and I'm not - it's more that I'm pissed at myself for not finding out all the rules and taking advantage of them. Guam's got full use of Keither Ginter, Johan Santana, and Mark Hendrickson for this series. His quality lefties will neutralize my right-bashing lineup. I need to get to his bullpen ASAP, and hope that my starters and fielding can hold his offense in check. Against his lefty rotation of Hendrickson, Santana, and Rueter, my lineup will look like this (remember, 2002 stats are used) Kearns CF Martinez DH Spivey 2B Hammonds LF Lee 1B Guerrero RF Williams 3B Gonzalez C Vizquel SS Not quite as nice as my lineup I'll be able to use once against Jeff Weaver: Guerrero RF Giles LF Durazo DH Kearns CF Ortiz 1B Lowell 3B Alomar 2B Larue C Vizquel SS My rotation stacks up as: Lowe Millwood Leiter relieved by Burnett If it goes 7, I'll be able to pitch Lowe 3 times. Here's how I see it - split games 1 and 2 (Lowe v. Hendrickson, Millwood v. Santana). Guam takes game 3 (Leiter/Burnett v. Rueter) and Schuylkill comes back in game 4 (Lowe v. Weaver). Guam takes 5 (Hendrickson v. Millwood) and 6 (Santana v. Leiter/Burnett). But if I can sneak out either 5 or 6, I'll have the game 7 advantage of Lowe v. Rueter. So, call it even. If I make it through, the World Series would present a much easier opponent.
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